When the Beavers host the Ducks at Reser Stadium on Saturday afternoon, a new chapter in the rivalry between No. 9 Oregon and Oregon State will be written.
For the third consecutive week, Oregon is the overwhelming favorite, and the oddsmakers have not yet established a suitable point spread for the Ducks.
CFB Week 3 Oregon vs. Oregon State odds
In May, when the betting lines were released, Oregon was a 20.5-point favorite. Following two decisive Beaver victories and two lackluster Duck victories, the point spread at the leading online bookmakers is currently Oregon -16.5.
Depending on which sportsbook you check, the Ducks moneyline odds are approximately -800. FanDuel Sportsbook has the highest Oregon State moneyline odds for bettors anticipating an upset (+580).
The clubs have a combined record of 3-1 on unders this season, and the total is 49.5.
With victories in 13 of the previous 16 encounters, Oregon has recently dominated the rivalry. But in the last four meetings, both teams have triumphed at home.
Why Oregon could win as the favorite
The Ducks have received more criticism from the media and college football fans than Notre Dame. Oregon is currently ranked No. 9 in the AP Poll, having begun the season at No. 3.
In Week 1, head coach Dan Lanning’s team was a 44-point favorite against Idaho and narrowly defeated the Vandals, winning 24–14. The Ducks gave up 192 rushing yards and three touchdowns to Broncos standout running back Ashton Jeanty, and they defeated Boise State in Week 2 with a walk-off field goal.
In Week 3, Oregon’s capacity to halt the run will be crucial. Oregon State ranks fifth in the FBS with an average of 300 yards per game on the ground.
Dillon With a combined 355 yards from pass catchers Evan Stewart, Traeshon Holden, and Terrance Ferguson, Gabriel has done a good job moving the ball. Gabriel needs to complete drives to silence the Reser Stadium fans, and he only has four touchdown throws.
The Beaver supporters won’t have any influence if the Ducks take an early lead and maintain their pressure. Additionally, Oregon would be in a strong position to cover the three-possession gap if they did this.
Why Oregon State could win as the underdog
Given Oregon’s Big Ten admission and the intense preseason excitement around it, Oregon State might be more eager than ever to defeat their opponents. The first step to pulling off the upset is to stay in the fight for the opening two quarters.
It is equally crucial to win offensively in the trenches. Together, Jam Griffin and Anthony Hankerson have amassed 475 running yards and six touchdowns, making them an excellent backfield combination.
Given the Ducks’ problems against Boise State and Jeanty, the Beavers will rely on them once more this week.
In their 21-0 victory in Week 2, Oregon State held San Diego State to 72 running yards. Although the Ducks are much more effective on the ground than San Diego State, Bucky Irving’s departure appears to have hurt Oregon’s rushing offense.
Oregon State can’t hurt themselves with penalties and turnovers, which happens every time an underdog tries to upset one of the best teams in the country.
Oregon vs. Oregon State prediction
On Saturday, I’m betting on Oregon State +16.5 (odds of -110 at Caesars Sportsbook). Getting the.5 hook with Caesars could be essential if covering the spread comes down to the final possessions, as the point spread fluctuates from bookmaker to sportsbook.
After two poor showings at Autzen Stadium, it’s difficult to believe in Oregon anymore. In Oregon’s first away game against a fierce opponent, I don’t see the Ducks working out the wrinkles and covering a large point spread.
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