The Ducks are getting ready for a Friday night matchup against Purdue, who have only one win, while Oregon fans are still in the mood after their thrilling college football triumph over Ohio State last weekend.
Ducks quarterback Dillon Gabriel could improve his chances of winning the Heisman Trophy by playing against a Boilermakers defense that gives up the most points in the Big Ten. The Ducks are a huge favorite at the best online sportsbooks, especially considering that Oregon is ranked as the second-ranked team in the AP poll.
Oregon vs. Purdue predictions and best bets
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Oregon -27.5:
-110 odds at DraftKings
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Evan Stewart anytime TD scorer:
+125 odds at Caesars
For Oregon, this is a classic sleeper location. There’s a potential the Ducks will overlook Purdue in the short week after one of their biggest regular-season victories ever.
When you consider that Oregon must cross two time zones to get to West Lafayette, Indiana, the game becomes even more captivating. This season, Big Ten teams that travel between time zones had a 3–10 record.
But I think the confidence that Ohio State’s victory gave them will translate into a decisive victory over Purdue.
The rise of transfer wide receiver Evan Stewart from Texas A&M gives Oregon’s potent attack yet another dimension. Despite averaging 36 yards in the first four games, Stewart burst for 149 yards against the Buckeyes.
I’m picking Stewart to find the end zone once more on Friday night after he scored in back-to-back games.
The Ducks defense should be keen to prove itself after giving up 31 points to Ohio State, but Purdue is coming off its greatest offensive performance of the season. In four of its last six games, Oregon has given up 14 points or less.
Oregon vs. Purdue moneyline odds analysis
Why Oregon could win as the favorite
The best odds at DraftKings are -3600.
The overwhelming win over Ohio State taught us a lot about Oregon.
With three touchdowns, 32 yards of running, and 341 yards of throwing, Gabriel is a legitimate Heisman candidate. Against one of the top defenses in the country, the Ducks attack kept up its response as the lead changed eight times during the game.
With 155 yards and two touchdowns, Oregon’s running offense is not to be disregarded. RB Jordan James averaged five yards per rush for a game-high 115 yards.
The defense of Oregon had a poor game, giving up 467 yards, one sack, and no takeaways. But against a Purdue offense that has scored 10 points or less in three of six games this season, that shouldn’t be a problem.
Why Purdue could win as the underdog
Fanatics offers the best odds at +1700.
West Lafayette was in dire need of a change after Purdue’s lone victory in Week 1 over FCS rival Indiana State.
Despite starting the first five games for the Boilermakers, quarterback Hudson Card missed last Saturday’s game against No. 23 Illinois due to a concussion. As 21.5-point underdogs, Purdue lost the game by one point in overtime and might have discovered a better quarterback in Ryan Browne.
Browne ran for 118 yards and passed for 297 yards and three touchdowns.
Purdue showed tenacity by rallying from a 27-3 deficit in the third quarter to almost pull off the shock.
Aside from Week 1, the Boilermakers’ scoring output was at its highest of the season. Prior to playing Purdue, Illinois’ defense was excellent, giving up 24 points or less in each game.
There is an opportunity for an upset if Browne can keep the Boilermakers offense running well against Oregon on Friday night.
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