For Oregon Ducks supporters, Sunday’s NFL Week 6 game between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers is a fantasy come true.
Bo Nix and Justin Herbert, two former Oregon quarterbacks, will square off in Denver as their teams look to win a crucial AFC West game. Both Nix and Herbert are off to strong starts with their NFL teams after being fantastic when they were with the Ducks.
See our NFL Week 6 Broncos vs. Chargers player prop choices and predictions for Bo Nix vs. Justin Herbert.
Justin Herbert passing yards Under 188.5 (
-115 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
)
The days of Herbert’s prolific passing seem to have long since passed. Herbert passed for 5,000 yards and 38 touchdowns in the 2021 season. He gained an additional 4,700 yards in 2022.
Herbert is now averaging 144.5 passing yards per game through four games this season, which would leave him with less than 2,500 yards for the season.
Jim Harbaugh, the first-year coach, has concentrated on the rushing game because he loves it. In their losses to Pittsburgh and Kansas City, two formidable defenses, the Chargers also struggled in the passing game in their third and fourth games.
They performed better against the weak defenses of Carolina and Las Vegas in the first two weeks, but Herbert still managed 144 and 130 passing yards in those contests. His throwing yardage prop for Sunday’s game in Denver is set at 188.5, which is far from that.
With an average of 5.8 yards per attempt, Denver’s pass defense is ranked second in the league. Are we to assume that Herbert will thrive since that is far more in line with Kansas City and Pittsburgh than it is with Carolina and Las Vegas?
As of this writing, the over/under is 35.5 points, which is incredibly low. The fact that neither offense takes many chances downfield and that both defenses are formidable is known to the oddsmakers.
Taking the Over on this prop makes sense if you believe the Chargers will reveal their playbook following the bye week. However, there are no indications that anything will occur, thus we suggest the Under.
Bo Nix anytime touchdown (
+305 odds at Caesars Sportsbook
)
Nix’s dual-threat skill was one of the things that made him such a prized player in college. Fortunately for sports wagerers, that quality has been maintained at the professional level.
In five games, Nix has run 31 times for 119 yards, both of which place him among the top 10 NFL quarterbacks. With three rushing touchdowns, he is only one touchdown behind fellow rookie Jayden Daniels and is second among quarterbacks.
The strongest fact to back up this claim is that Nix has scored on three of his four running attempts from within the 5-yard line this season. He is seen by the Broncos as a crucial component of the offense near the end zone.
The Chargers have given up two rushing touchdowns in four games and rank sixth in the league with 3.9 yards per carry allowed. Not necessarily for Nix, but terrible news for Broncos running back Javonte Williams.
Although Nix has scored on planned run plays, he can also work independently if his receivers aren’t available on a passing play. For something that Nix has already done three times this season, this is an excellent deal.
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