When Oregon and UCLA play their first meeting as Big Ten rivals on Saturday night, the oddsmakers predict that the Ducks will win handily.
After a bye week, head coach Dan Lanning’s team may be in a prime position to secure future wagers on the Oregon national championship and the Big Ten championship.
Oregon vs. UCLA prediction
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Oregon -25.5:
-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook
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Under 55.5:
-105 at FanDuel Sportsbook
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Terrance Ferguson 30+ receiving yards:
-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
After playing poorly in their first two games of the season, the Ducks finally showed their full potential in a 49-14 victory over Oregon State.
QB Dillon Gabriel threw for 291 yards and two scores while being effective over the air. OU’s running game was thriving as well, scoring four touchdowns and accumulating 240 yards.
Beavers quarterback Gevani McCoy was held in check despite Oregon State’s excellent ground ball movement.
Against a UCLA attack that leads the Big Ten with 60 running yards per game, Oregon’s inability to stop the run won’t be a problem. At 295 yards per game, the Bruins defense has also been the poorest in the conference at preventing the pass.
I think Oregon will win the Rose Bowl handily because they have matchup advantages on both sides of the ball.
In addition, given how vulnerable UCLA’s defense has been against the pass, I anticipate Gabriel putting on another incredible performance. Gabriel should give TE Terrance Ferguson plenty of looks on Saturday night as he averages around 40 receiving yards per game.
Oregon vs. UCLA odds
Oregon -24 was listed first on the betting lines. Oregon may be an even greater favorite when the game begins on Saturday night, as the spread has slowly increased to Ducks -25.5.
An over/under rarely stays the same throughout the week, but in the instance of Oregon vs. UCLA, it did. Since its publication, the total has remained at 55.5.
Oregon vs. UCLA moneyline odds analysis
Why Oregon could win as the favorite
The best odds at bet365 Sportsbook are -2800.
When Gabriel moved from Oklahoma to the Ducks in the offseason, he was greeted with great hopes. With an 84% completion rate, the sixth-year quarterback has led FBS after three games.
In the first two games, Oregon’s offensive line gave up seven sacks, which was below par. Gabriel recorded a season-high 64 running yards and was on fire when he received good protection against Oregon State.
DeShaun Foster, the new head coach of UCLA, has had a difficult season so far. The Bruins lost to Indiana and LSU by 45 points overall in Weeks 2 and 3, respectively, and nearly lost the season opener against Hawaii.
Oregon should have no trouble going 4-0 against the Bruins, who have been among the poorest teams in the Big Ten.
Why UCLA could win as the underdog
The best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook are +1500.
To pull off the shock against Oregon, UCLA needs to turn around a number of trends.
One of the best quarterbacks in the country, Gabriel has a +1200 chance of winning the Heisman at Fanatics Sportsbook. The Bruins will need to improve their ability to stop the pass.
Ethan Garbers, the quarterback for UCLA, has struggled with accuracy. With four interceptions, the senior is only completing 57% of his passes.
Against Oregon, the margin of error will be extremely narrow, and UCLA’s offense cannot afford to make a mistake.
The Bruins would set up the run, which would be very advantageous to Garbers. This season, no UCLA ball carrier has gained more than 75 yards, and when there is no threat on the ground, the Bruins’ offensive strategy becomes one-dimensional.
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