When Kansas City hosts the rival Denver Broncos in Week 10, they will try to improve their record to 9-0 for the third time in the team’s history. Bo Nix, a former quarterback for the Ducks, will attempt to pull off the biggest upset of his first campaign.
Last week, Kansas City defeated a tenacious Tampa Bay club in overtime to maintain their perfect record. In their last 17 meetings with Denver, K.C. has won 16 of them. After losing to the Ravens by 31 points, the 5-4 Broncos will attempt to recover. The top picks for this NFL Week 10 AFC West game are provided by us.
Denver vs. Kansas City predictions and best bets
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Broncos +7.5:
-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook
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Over 42 points:
-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Javonte Williams Under 36.5 Rushing Yards:
-110 at bet365
Note: To guarantee you receive the best odds, check lines closer to game time. Odds are based on the best value our analysts find as of publication.
The two-time defending champs just make all the correct moves when it comes to winning; they don’t always blow teams away. Kansas City has only triumphed by more than 10 points once this season.
The Broncos lost three of their previous games by seven points or fewer, but they were destroyed by the Ravens last week. One element that frequently contributes to close games is the two clubs’ divisional familiarity.
Kansas City’s defense has received accolades this season, and the squad doesn’t have a particularly strong offense. However, 42 points isn’t a particularly high standard for these teams to meet.
In the final two games, which were against the offensively depleted Buccaneers and the sluggish Las Vegas offense, K.C. and its opponents exceeded the expected total.
In four of its last five games, Denver and its opponents have scored 42 points or more. Given that he is averaging 3.8 yards per run and that rookie Audric Estime may begin reducing his playing time as early as this week, Williams will not be included in any potential offensive charge.
Denver vs. Kansas City moneyline odds analysis
Why Kansas City could win as the favorite
The best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook are +380.
Kansas City is ranked third in run defense and fifth in overall defense. You should take the Under on Williams’ rushing totals because of that final figure.
In his six career home starts against Denver, Patrick Mahomes has never lost. Set season highs in completions (34), completion percentage (77.3), touchdown passes (3), and quarterback rating (116.8) in the victory over Tampa Bay.
DeAndre Hopkins caught eight catches for 86 yards and two touchdowns in his second game with the new K.C. acquisition. Travis Kelce, who set a new career best in Week 9 with 14 receptions for a season-high 100 yards, was undoubtedly aided by Hopkins’ arrival.
Chris Jones has had a sack in three of his previous four games against the Broncos. In his last three games, George Karlaftis has been sackable.
Why Denver could win as the underdog
The best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook are +315
The physicality of AFC West games has not deterred Nix. In his last two divisional games, he has passed for two or more touchdowns. With no interceptions in three of his last four road games, the former Oregon standout is also handling the ball well. View our best Bo Nix props for Week 10 here.
Last season, Courtland Sutton caught touchdown passes in both of his games against K.C. He concluded Week 9 with seven receptions and a season-high 122 yards.
In his last six defensive games, Nik Bonitto had a tackle for a loss. In three of his last four road games, he has been sackable. In his last four away games, John Franklin-Myers has been sackable.
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